Florida Panthers - Scoring Chances At The Quarter Mark

Even strength is not the issue with these Florida Panthers.  They continue to perform as one of the bettereven strength teams in the league.  The story has been the power play, or lack thereof.

I've been tracking scoring chances for Donny since the beginning of the season.  For those that have yet to see a definition, here it is:

A scoring chance is defined as a clear play directed toward the opposing net from a dangerous scoring area - loosely defined as the top of the circle in and inside the faceoff dots, though sometimes slightly more generous than that depending on the amount of immediately-preceding puck movement or screens in front of the net. Blocked shots are generally not included but missed shots are. A player is awarded a scoring chance anytime he is on the ice and someone from either team has a chance to score. He is awarded a "chance for" if someone on his team has a chance to score and a "chance against" if the opposing team has a chance to score. Vic Ferrari makes this all possible  with his tools to evaluate Corsi, head-to-head ice time and scoring chances.

After the jump, we'll look at the scoring chances totals for the first twenty games of the season.

I've broken the chances down by forward and defenseman.  TSC = total scoring chances, TSCA = total scoring chances against, CF/15 = chances for per 15 minutes of even strength time, CA/15 = chances against per 15 minutes of even strength time, SCDIFF = scoring chances difference, DIFF/15 = scoring chances difference per 15 minutes of ice time.   The table is sorted by DIFF/15.

*This table is sortable by column, simply click on the header.

#  Player 
TSC TSCA
CF/15 CA/15 SCDIFF
DIFF/15
85 R. OLESZ 
67 39
4.733 2.755 28
1.978
21 C. HIGGINS 
74 49
4.208 2.787 25
1.422
27 S. REINPRECHT
37 21
3.227 1.831 16
1.395
18 S. MATTHIAS 
63 51
4.288 3.471 12
0.817
10 D. BOOTH 
90 76
4.202 3.548 14
0.654
67 M. FROLIK 
68 57
3.761 3.153 11
0.608
13 M. SANTORELLI 
56 48
3.687 3.160 8
0.527
14 R. DVORAK 
61 51
3.204 2.679 10
0.525
61 C. STILLMAN 
54 48
3.389 3.012 6
0.377
19 M. REASONER 
54 48
2.949 2.621 6
0.328
9 S. WEISS 
68 62
3.685 3.360 6
0.325
26 S. BERNIER 
39 40
3.830 3.928 -1
-0.098

 

Rostislav Olesz remains the offensive stalwart on this team.  When he's on the ice - the Panthers are typically in the offensive zone and generating scoring chances.  He stands alone in the chances for and chances differential among forward for these Panthers.

 

*This table is sortable by column, simply click on the header.

#  Player 
TSC TSCA
CF/15 CA/15 SCDIFF
DIFF/15
4 K. ELLERBY
32 15
4.106 1.925 17
2.181
52 J. GARRISON 
37 21
2.986 1.695 16
1.291
7 D. KULIKOV 
86 67
3.873 3.017 19
0.856
43 M. WEAVER 
79 60
3.432 2.607 19
0.826
24 B. MCCABE 
94 76
4.150 3.355 18
0.795
6 D WIDEMAN 
96 83
3.934 3.401 13
0.533
5 B. ALLEN 
78 69
3.685 3.260 9
0.425

 

The defensemen continue to play a very solid game at even strength as well.  The bargain pairing of Jason Garrison and Mike Weaver take on the tough assignments, Bryan Allen and Dennis Wideman get the second-most difficult minutes, leaving Bryan McCabe and Dmitry Kulikov free to play easy assignments. 

The most interesting player to me has been Keaton Ellerby.  Two years in the AHL have done wonders for this guy's game - even though he's getting the easiest possible assignments from Coach DeBoer, he's killing the minutes and the assignments.

The Panthers are playing like a top five conference team at even strength, but they've been let down by the power play.  There is still time to save the season, but the power play has to find life.  Right now.  If not, it's time to send away Vokoun, Stillman, Dvorak, Higgins, Reasoner, and McCabe by the deadline and load up for next season.

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