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2011 NHL Mock Draft: LBC Edition

Ah the joys of mock drafting, perhaps one of the most inexact attempts a sports fan can produce when it comes to predicting the future. Those of us who follow clubs that didn't make the playoffs are more likely interested than those who did not, but the mock drafts always seem to bring out the best conversations as to a team's need and wants, both from the club's point of view and the fans point of view. Seeing as how we're all fans here, feel free to post your mock draft predictions in the comments. Note that this is simply my prediction of the top ten picks and not the other staffers here at the LBC. Enjoy the banter folks!


1. Edmonton Oilers - Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, C

Even though Edmonton has some clear needs on the blueline, they were still the third lowest scoring team in the league last season, and drafting Nugent-Hopkins will create a long-term solution to some of the offensive issues the Oilers had last season. If Nugent-Hopkins can step right in and center a line with Taylor Hall on the wing, that immediately becomes a very dangerous scoring line. Nugent-Hopkins is likely the best playmaking center out of this year's draft, and will likely be the top centerman on the Edmonton roster after another season or two to finish his minor league efforts and fill out. Look for Edmonton to take Nugent-Hopkins with the first pick, and to address their defensive issues with some free agency work.

2. Colorado Avalanche - Adam Larsson, D

The worst defensive team in the league last season (30th in goals against, 30th on the PK), the Avs really need a blue-chip defensive prospect like Larsson or Dougie Hamilton to step in and make an impact. Larsson is the more NHL-ready of the two, and has the upside of being a slightly better puck mover than Hamilton. There's a chance the Avs will look at Jonathan Huberdeau or Sean Couturier, but the defensive needs are too glaring and Larsson is the smartest pick for a franchise that is in a rebuilding mode. A power play pairing of Erik Johnson and Larsson isn't a bad looking tandem, now is it?

Star-divide

3. Florida Panthers - Gabriel Landeskog, C/LW

Probably the most complete forward out of the top forward prospects in this year's draft, Landeskog is the most equipped to make an immediate impact for the team that drafts him, and the Panthers really would benefit from a player like Landeskog in the lineup. A character player and current captain of the OHL's Kitchener Rangers, Landeskog is a very solid two-way forward with a proven scoring touch, and his 6"1' 207 lb. frame and physical style of play will allow him to adapt to the NHL game very quickly. The Panthers could also look at Jonathan Huberdeau but will likely opt for Landeskog due to his size and character. He fits the mold of the Dale Tallon "blueprint", so expect to see Landeskog sliding a Panthers sweater over his head in June.

4. New Jersey Devils - Ryan Murphy, D

Murphy makes a big jump above where he was projected by many, as the Devils likely take him with the fourth pick. A player in the mold of Brian Rafalski, Murphy is a smaller player with huge offensive upside and great vision on the ice. He is a natural puck-moving defenseman, a commodity the Devils are not currently rich in. His smaller stature (5'10", 160 lbs.)  could be a liability, but Murphy will be given another year or two in the minors to continue to fill out his frame. He is a very intelligent player and would give New Jersey a huge upgrade on the power play and would help give them the option of having Murphy join in the transition game. Lou Lamoriello signed a 26-year old Rafalski when many scouts thought he was simply too small for the NHL, and he proved everyone wrong, with Rafalski maturing into an All-Star defenseman. Expect Lou to look to do the same with Murphy.

5. New York Islanders - Dougie Hamilton, D

Hamilton is exactly what the Islanders need to help shore up their defensive woes: a big, strong, smart defensive player, who is solid on the first pass and has nowhere to go but upwards in regards to offensive production. Hamilton would be a very welcome addition to the Islanders defensive corps, as he would immediately give them a solid option as point man on the power play, and is reliable in any other situation they can throw at him. With the recent emergence of Andy MacDonald and Travis Hamonic, the Islanders blueline is looking better than it has in recent memory, and adding Hamilton in a season or two would further bolster the defensive future for a soon-to-be deep Islanders squad.

6. Ottawa Senators - Jonathan Huberdeau, C

Huberdeau has rocketed up the rankings the last six months, and for good reason, as he has continually showed the offensive skills that have made him so coveted during his playoff run with the Saint John Sea Dogs. The Senators will be very happy to acquire a skill player like Huberdeau to join their ranks and help their current rebuilding process. He will likely need another season or two to fill out physically and refine his game further, but when ready he should be able to step in and have an immediate impact in the NHL. Ottawa showed the league that they have a good corps of young forwards coming up through the ranks and Huberdeau will be one of the jewels in that collection.

7. Atlanta Thrashers - Sean Couturier, C

Despite all the accolades and awards, Couturier falls down the draft board to Atlanta, and they couldn't be happier. Many are projecting Couturier to be more of a raw project player than those taken above him in this mock draft, but there's no denying his skillset, size and intangibles on the ice will likely allow him to have a successful NHL career no matter where he plays. The Thrashers really need depth down the middle of the ice and Couturier will provide that as well as a proven scoring touch. His big body will let him compete down in the dirty areas in the corners and the front of the net, and he could potentially have some very solid wingers in Evander Kane and Blake Wheeler, creating a very formidable forechecking line that can put up potentially big numbers.

8. Columbus Blue Jackets - Nathan Beaulieu, D

Beaulieu is a bit of a project at this point but has immense upside as an offensive blueliner. He's not a big player at 6', 165 lbs. but will be given time to fill out and further build on his defensive game. Columbus has a real need for a solid puck-moving defenseman, and he will be able to solidly fill that role in a couple seasons. Columbus is likely coveting Ryan Murphy as well but he will likely be off the board by the time the Blue Jackets are up.

9. Boston Bruins - Duncan Siemens, D

A smooth skating defensive prospect with some offensive potential, Siemens would be a few years out from joining the Bruins in the NHL, but will likely mature into a top-6 defenseman. His skillset is that of a stay-at-home defensive player, as he is very responsible in his own end and uses his long reach to control play in the zone. He has a pretty solid point shot and could possibly see time on a power play unit, but it remains to be seen how Boston would utilize him. Regardless, he's one of the top five defensive prospects in the draft, and the Bruins will want to fill the farm system with those types of players for the future.

10. Minnesota Wild - Ryan Strome, C

The Wild need scorers and offensive production, and Strome is no stranger to that. A smaller forward, Strome makes up for his lack of size with a work effort that will surely win over any coaches or fans. He had a fantastic season with the Niagara IceDogs of the OHL in 2010-2011, scoring 106 points in 65 games, and would be a welcome addition to a Wild roster that saw only one player crack the 20 goal plateau last season.

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hard to imagine that we’d get anyone other than Landeskog unless there’s a trade or something

by pukeoncops on May 2, 2011 1:12 PM EDT reply actions  

The Cats management may also be very interested in Huberdeau or Couturier too. All three are centers and depth down the middle is the way to go, it seems.

by Ryan Meier on May 2, 2011 1:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

What are the chances of the Avs going for Landeskog and us being screwed out of the top 2 forwards? I’m assuming it could happen, but I hope to see Gabe in a Cats sweater in June.

by Sdiaz6215 on May 2, 2011 1:25 PM EDT reply actions  

That’s really the problem with any mock draft or projection. It’s entirely possible that the Avs will really like Landeskog and snatch him up before we get to the podium. The good news though is that Huberdeau and Couturier are both still extremely good picks and will more than likely be available to us when we are set to choose.

by JDMorris on May 2, 2011 1:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

Right on, JD. This is a fairly deep draft class so there’s still plenty of talent available at #3, even if Landeskog gets swiped up earlier. However, I would put money down that Edmonton or Colorado will take Larsson. He’s too good to pass up for both of those teams, especially Colorado, who was atrocious last season on defense.

by Ryan Meier on May 2, 2011 1:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think that we will see the panthers try to get a low first rounder, not sure who will be traded since there is not much left on this team.

by Hawkseye on May 2, 2011 3:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Forget Landeskog, I hope Tallon pulls off a new “rat trick.” (speaking of which, go vote for the rat trick at NHL HISTORY VS. HISTORY)

 How about the Panthers undo the draft jinx and trade up for once. A second round pick + Ellberby + Repik + our first rounder for Nugent Hopkins? Would it work? I think that would be enough, it gives Oilers a good defenseman, playmaker Repik, and an additional pick. They can pick up the dman that they need at #3 and get some younger depth. Panthers take a risk, and get nugent-hopkins. I think it is a win win situation for both teams.

by Hawkseye on May 2, 2011 3:11 PM EDT reply actions  

I personally don’t feel the disparity between Nugent-Hopkins and Landeskog is all that great, so I don’t think it would really be worth it for the Cats to try something like that. Ellerby is maturing into a top-six defenseman, and the jury is still out on Repik in regards to a long-term NHL career. If Tallon were to make a trade like that, it wouldn’t be for a higher 1st round pick, but rather an additional 1st round pick in the later stages of the first.

I just don’t see it happening either way though.

by Ryan Meier on May 2, 2011 3:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yes, but what if Landeskog is gone on the third pick? Then what another defenseman? This team really needs some fire power. Very few #1 picks are busts.

While #3 pick Horton sure was one for the Panthers.

by Hawkseye on May 2, 2011 6:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

If Landeskog is gone by the first pick, that leaves Nugent-Hopkins, Couturier and Huberdeau left. I’d take any one of those. I would even take Larsson to be honest, but if we are assuming Tallon takes a forward, the three remaining are all still solid picks.

by Ryan Meier on May 2, 2011 6:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

Couturier/Huberdeau

by Colt1235 on May 2, 2011 6:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

Might be too much....

I agree with Ryan that a package like that might net an additional pick, but not a swap of picks.

If you look at the two 1st overall trades the Panthers made in the past you will see it wouldn’t cost ALOT to make the move:

2003 – The Florida Panthers trade the first pick (Marc-Andre Fleury) and 73rd pick (Daniel Carcillo) to the Pittsburgh Penguins for the third pick (Nathan Horton), the 55th pick (Stefan Meyer) and Mikael Samuelsson.

2002 – Florida trades 1st pick to Columbus for first-round pick (No. 3 overall, Jay Bouwmeester) and option to switch first-round picks in 2003.

I don’t think that Tallon makes a trade up and instead stands pat. BUT if he was to make the move it would either be:

3rd overall and Repik for 1st overall and 3rd round pick or 3rd overall for 1st overall and option to switch next year.

by saskpantherfan on May 2, 2011 4:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

I would say that the panthers got fleeced on previous deals considering the end result.

Repik is too much of a so so pick. I dont think his value is as high as everyone thinks. He did absolutely nothing with the Panthers in the second half of the season. Nothing at all. Was it Deboer? I dont know. But I think his value has dropped.

by Hawkseye on May 2, 2011 6:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

He is worth more to us than he would be to other teams, for now

by Colt1235 on May 2, 2011 6:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree, two players plus a second round pick to move up two spots, I think it’s too much. Now, if Nugent-Hopkins was a virtual guarantee (Crosby, Ovechkin) maybe, but, I know from my standpoint, his name hasn’t been bandied about like those two were.

by studyaid on May 2, 2011 5:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

Possibly the dumbest thing I've ever heard

Why trade up when you can keep the 3rd pick and still pick the most NHL ready guy in the draft, Gabriel Landeskog. And you loose Ellerby which is looking pretty promising right about now. I’d concentrate on trying to get another 1st and maybe taking matt puempel in the mid first round, he’s gonna be a steal

by GoCats1996 on May 2, 2011 5:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hey, last time I checked, the dumbest thing that I ever heard was the Panthers trading Luongo for a bag of pucks.

Secondly, why not bring in a the top pick. This team has never had a numero uno pick. They need someone who can score a ton of goals not just 20 to 25…

by Hawkseye on May 2, 2011 6:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree this team needs a #1 player like the ones you can acquire at the top of the draft, but the point I think everyone’s trying to make is that the cost to get there is usually too high.

by Ryan Meier on May 2, 2011 6:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah that is probably the dumbest, but nugget-hopkins will need time to develop. he’s not someone that can come in right now, the guy ways 170 soaking wet. Landeskog fits our system and i think he’d do nothing but good for us. And when you look at it, 20 or 25 more goals could’ve won us some of those 30 or so 1 goal games

by GoCats1996 on May 2, 2011 7:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

They could always trade down too--

 I wouldn’t count out the possibility of trading down a few spots if their “guy” gets taken with picks 1 and 2 (like they did with Bjugstad). I really think there’s a deal to be had with New Jersey as we match up well for a trade.

by Craig Fischer on May 2, 2011 6:20 PM EDT reply actions  

I am against trading down. Every time the Panthers have done so, we have gotten the raw end of the deal. It is time for this team to trade up for a sure thing.

by Hawkseye on May 2, 2011 6:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

You must be feeling courageous to suggest trading down, you know, with all the arguing we’re doing over trading up :D

The unaimed arrow never misses
Trying out this whole Twitter thang...@RhyminChrisR

by Chris S Roberts on May 2, 2011 10:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

 Well with most other draft classes I’d never consider it but when I look at the noteables at the top of this draft, I don’t see considerable present and long term difference. I think it comes down to player type and team needs to be honest—and in saying that, I think it’s a perfect situation to acquire more assests. I’m not saying fall out of the first round or anything, I just think dropping down a few spots wouldn’t be the worst.

 You have to remember that with no clear cut frontrunner (I know RNH is pulling ahead, but I still don’t know if it’s a discernable margin) it’s more than possible for a team to like a particular player, trade down a few spots and still get him.

by Craig Fischer on May 2, 2011 11:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree with the logic, but I think that with the teams history of getting burned in those trades, you’ve got to stay and make use of the tank-job in the second half of the season.

by badger737 on May 3, 2011 9:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

Take Couturier or Huberdeau not Landeskog

The biggest problem with the team is the scoring. Just for that reason alone the other two make more sense. Look at their point averages for this past season. Please Tallon get us something we haven’t had since Bure; a scoring threat.

Couturier – 1.66 ppg
Huberdeau – 1.57 ppg
Landeskog – 1.25 ppg

by CanadianJoel on May 2, 2011 8:15 PM EDT reply actions  

Truthfully, Landeskog has the potential to be a genuine scoring threat. In any event this draft is quite deep and any of these three players is going to help this team tremendously.

by JDMorris on May 2, 2011 8:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

I am not going to complain either way

by Colt1235 on May 2, 2011 9:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

I like couturier but the talent in the QMJHL doesn’t compare to the OHL, Landeskog is our man

by GoCats1996 on May 3, 2011 12:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

The X factor in this years draft

COL General Manager Greg Sherman is a DUMB-ASS!!! Remember the Hannan-Fleishmann trade? Well scoring was magical but the defense fell apart. Remember the Stewart-Shattenkirk trade for Johnson-McClement? He traded one of the leagues most promising power forwards and a defenseman having an awesome rookie year for Johnson and McClement, then scoring dried up and the D continued to suck.

Sherman overlooks the team’s main problem to hole up peripheral shortcomings, which by the stunted the team’s future. If anyone knows how to screw his team over with the second pick, it will be him. I fully expect him to skip over the franchise defenseman in Larsson to pick Landeskog.

The unaimed arrow never misses
Trying out this whole Twitter thang...@RhyminChrisR

by Chris S Roberts on May 2, 2011 10:49 PM EDT reply actions  

hahaha. He has made some real head scratchers eh? The Anderson trade is by far the most bizzare.

 I actually think Sherman’s on the right track though and only because of the prospect pool he inherited. The Av’s have a ton of talent right on the cusp (S. Elliot, Hishon and Pickard could be huge going forward) so as long as he doesn’t go nuts they should be okay—it’ll be really interesting to see who he picks though because for all intents and purposes he’s going to set the draft in motion.

by Craig Fischer on May 2, 2011 11:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

The thing is that if he did pick Landeskog I would never by any stretch of the imagination paint that pick as a “screw-up”. I definitely understand your point in saying that they need a defenseman more than they need a forward, but I cannot see picking Landeskog 2nd overall as being a stupid move.

by JDMorris on May 3, 2011 7:15 AM EDT up reply actions  

No, no harm can come from drafting Landeskog, Sherman could just do himself (and us) a huge favor by taking Larrson

The unaimed arrow never misses
Trying out this whole Twitter thang...@RhyminChrisR

by Chris S Roberts on May 3, 2011 4:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

Best Player Available

If the Av’s take Landeskog, would be no surprise to me if Dale goes for Larsson. Sure we don’t need more D but still that does not mean you do not take the best player on the board. We can always trade away some quality assets at that position to bring back some quality forwards, especially if they are pushing hard their teams cap.
I remember well how we traded down for Bouw because that was our need at the time. Imagine had we selected Rick Nash instead. Would have that been a mistake??

CFS93

by chesterbardo on May 3, 2011 8:36 AM EDT reply actions  

I don’t think Florida has their sights set solely on Landeskog. If he goes in the top two picks, that means Nugent-Hopkins, Huberdeau and Couturier are still left. If Edmonton picks one of them, that still leaves two of them. The Cats are gonna draft a forward in the top three, and it’s going to be one of these four. The only other scenario I see happening is Dale trading down to 4th and New Jersey going for Larsson, with Florida still getting a forward in the 4th pick and acquiring additional resources as well.

by Ryan Meier on May 3, 2011 10:01 AM EDT up reply actions  

trade up.....

Let’s go for Nugent- Hopkins…..We got plenty of $$$ to spend and finally can afford to REALLY wheel and deal. Marty St. Louis ain’t the biggest guy around but he’s the MVP for Tampa……NH can really give us what we need…….scoring.

by LAUSMAN on May 3, 2011 10:04 AM EDT reply actions  

Great analysis Ryan, thanks. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Bartschi (my homeboy) or the swedish kid Zibanejad sneaking in the top 10.

As for FLA, I think you are right. It would be one of the 4. Looking forward to the draft, and I can see some deals coming…

by Pilchino on May 3, 2011 10:29 AM EDT reply actions  

Great List!

It’s cool seeing a Panthers blogs perspective on things. I did a mock on In Lou We Trust a few weeks ago here and had the Panthers selecting Huberdeau.

Personally, I don’t see the Devils going defense unless Larsson is available as they have a few guys in the system that can work a power play, but I know many fans would be happy with Murphy!

In Lou We Trust: SBN Blog of the New Jersey Devils

by Tom Stivali on May 3, 2011 3:14 PM EDT reply actions  

Yea I would agree on Larsson just because he’s almost a can’t-miss prospect. Murphy’s going to be a solid offensive blueliner with some team, but if New Jersey doesn’t take him there I would bet he falls to the 8th spot or somewhere around there.

Thanks for the feedback Tom!

by Ryan Meier on May 3, 2011 4:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

No problem, I liked the rationale behind Landeskog and being a Tallon type of player. I was trying to think like Tallon when I did my mock (in a related story I think I forgot to tender by RFAs in time) and thought they would want offense.

Curious….if it went RNH/Landeskog as most of the ‘experts’ predict…do the Cats pass up Larsson?

In Lou We Trust: SBN Blog of the New Jersey Devils

by Tom Stivali on May 4, 2011 9:45 AM EDT up reply actions  

It’s hard to say as a fan, because most of us want them to draft forwards due to a drastic need for it in the organization. I think as a general rule, it’s always the best course of action to take the best talent available at your draft position and not force something due to team needs, so I would say yes, they would take Larsson, or potentially trade out of the spot. Tallon’s got the mentality that this is a marathon and not a sprint, so if he can move down one or two spots and still draft Huberdeau or Couturier and acquire another pick somewhere in the draft or in next year’s draft, he’ll likely do it.

As great a player as Larsson is, the Cats really need scoring help and depth at forward and I think Tallon will take the best course of action to address that. And we’ll see about the RFA’s being on time… there are a lot of great golf courses in Florida :)

by Ryan Meier on May 4, 2011 11:06 AM EDT up reply actions  

 Larsson fits well with the devils build structure and needs but I wonder what drafting one of the most NHL ready players in the draft would do to further their cap situation—a top 3 pick could have a hefty cap hit. I don’t think they’d get the oppurtunity but it would be interesting to see what would come of him next year.

by Craig Fischer on May 3, 2011 6:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

That’s a great point. Because there is no bonus cushion next year a top pick becomes a detriment to the Devils with their cap situation. I wonder if any top picks this year sign a Justin Faulk type ELC deal (no perf bonuses) so that they aren’t a toxic hit to a teams cap.

With Couturier, Landeskog, Huberdeau and RNH all in junior that’s not a problem. They can sit there a year. Larsson is signed for another year in the SEL, but seeing as how much Hedman has grown in the past year I would want him over right away.

In Lou We Trust: SBN Blog of the New Jersey Devils

by Tom Stivali on May 4, 2011 9:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

If Larsson is available at #3 we would be dumb not to take him. He might be the best player in the draft and this team isn’t good enough to draft by need. Larsson/Gudbranson/Kulikov is a good foundation for the D similar to Keith and Seabrook in Chicago.

by roywhitby on May 3, 2011 4:02 PM EDT reply actions  

Can’t disagree with you there roy…

by Ryan Meier on May 3, 2011 4:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

 A few years down the road and it’s almost a pipe dream— I really wonder if you can have 3 big name defenders like that (and I’m assuming they’d develop well) because of the cap, that would be a fair chunk of change wrapped up on defense. Chicago’s barely managed with their 3, and it’ll be worse with Seabrook’s new deal.

 If the team thinks he’s the best player in the draft then sure, I agree with taking him but if they’ve had they’re eye on a forward or two still around, once again I think a situation like that becomes ideal for a trade down.

by Craig Fischer on May 3, 2011 6:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yea there could be cap issues, but you give yourself a chance to take the best two out of the three and move the third for picks or a roster player in the future.

Litter Box Cats - Your tarp-free Florida Panthers Colossus

by Ryan Meier on May 4, 2011 9:08 AM EDT up reply actions  

Correct. In addition, Ellerby would / should be part of this top 3, if he develops well…. we’d have pieces to trade to add for some offense.

by Pilchino on May 4, 2011 9:10 AM EDT up reply actions  

 I don’t know—I’ve probably paid too much attention to Jim Rutherford and his policy on drafting defense but I believe you’d spend way too much for very little return in the window you’d have with the defense just because of recent trends with defensive development versus contracts.

 Like I said if thats the best fit at that spot for the team, and that’s who they want then sure.

by Craig Fischer on May 4, 2011 6:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

On a similar note

Check out the Panthers web site, there’s a draft profile on Huberdeau there. About 2/3 through the video, he can be seen as a kid sporting an uncrested old school (1996) Panthers jersey.

An omen perhaps?

Video

by JDMorris on May 5, 2011 11:44 AM EDT reply actions  

It’s not a good eye so much as it is me being bored at work :D

by JDMorris on May 6, 2011 9:08 AM EDT up reply actions  

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