Tuesday: Canadiens 2, Panthers 1 (SO)
So, December 30th would see the Panthers earn a point by way of a near-literal last minute goal by Nick Bjugstad. The Canadiens had scored in the last minute of the second period on a Brendan Gallagher 29-foot snapshot. After overtime proved fruitless to each team, the Habs won in the third round of the shootout when PA Parenteau wristed one past Roberto Luongo in the third round.
Even Strength Corsi
Florida Panthers
Name |
TOI |
Corsi For |
Corsi Against |
Corsi Diff |
Corsi% |
ZS% |
C/ZS |
14:03 |
20 |
9 |
11 |
69 |
30 |
39 |
|
Aleksander Barkov |
14:45 |
20 |
8 |
12 |
71 |
38 |
31 |
13:41 |
16 |
9 |
7 |
64 |
42 |
22 |
|
14:35 |
14 |
6 |
8 |
70 |
50 |
20 |
|
Dave Bolland |
15:07 |
13 |
8 |
5 |
62 |
46 |
16 |
12:34 |
11 |
6 |
5 |
65 |
50 |
15 |
|
Willie Mitchell |
21:01 |
23 |
13 |
10 |
64 |
52 |
12 |
18:39 |
22 |
12 |
10 |
65 |
55 |
10 |
|
15:11 |
12 |
16 |
-4 |
43 |
33 |
10 |
|
Dylan Olsen |
16:11 |
14 |
10 |
4 |
58 |
50 |
8 |
Brian Campbell |
18:42 |
17 |
16 |
1 |
52 |
44 |
8 |
19:07 |
16 |
17 |
-1 |
48 |
44 |
4 |
|
Erik Gudbranson |
16:32 |
14 |
10 |
4 |
58 |
56 |
2 |
Nick Bjugstad |
14:23 |
14 |
14 |
0 |
50 |
50 |
0 |
16:03 |
16 |
17 |
-1 |
48 |
40 |
-2 |
|
Tomas Fleischmann |
10:38 |
9 |
7 |
2 |
56 |
78 |
-22 |
Derek MacKenzie |
9:35 |
5 |
7 |
-2 |
42 |
78 |
-36 |
Scottie Upshall |
9:13 |
5 |
7 |
-2 |
42 |
78 |
-36 |
Some Takeaways
- Jimmy Hayes was the big winner on the night. 69% of Corsi Events with him on the ice were directed toward Dustin Tokarski. This, even though only 30% of his faceoffs happened with Florida in Montreal’s zone.
- Aleksander Barkov had nearly the same statline, only with one less shot directed towards Roberto Luongo. 20-of-32 Corsi Events were positive, despite just 38% positive zone starts.
- Jussi Jokinen, Dave Bolland, Brad Boyes and Willie Mitchell also graded out well above average. In a fair and just universe, they all would have added a goal for good measure.
- Nick Bjugstad had the average-est night possible (short of his last minute heroics). 14 of 28 Corsi events were aimed at each goalie, and he started exactly half the time in each zone.
- Nearly half the skaters in Florida’s rotation ended up in standard deviation with a C – ZS difference of less than 10. That is, the number of shots directed towards each net with them on the ice was in line with what it should have been, considering each players’ starting position on every given faceoff. Dmitry Kulikov, Jonathan Huberdeau, Dylan Olsen, Brian Campbell, Aaron Ekblad, Erik Gudbranson, Nick Bjugstad, and Vincent Trocheck all fit the bill.
- Only three players in Florida’s rotation graded out poorly. Small sample size could be Derek MacKenzie’s, Tomas Fleischmann’s and Scottie Upshall’s excuses. The three had the three smallest ice-time samples for Florida. MacKenzie and Upshall each were present for 12 Corsi Events, including seven negative for a 42% Corsi. They should have done better, considering over three quarters of their zone starts were in the offensive zone (78%).
Montreal Canadiens
Name |
TOI |
Corsi For |
Corsi Against |
Corsi Diff |
Corsi% |
ZS% |
C/ZS |
Michael Bournival |
8:13 |
9 |
2 |
7 |
82 |
50 |
32 |
Dale Weise |
7:51 |
9 |
3 |
6 |
75 |
50 |
25 |
Jiri Sekac |
15:11 |
11 |
10 |
1 |
52 |
36 |
16 |
Brandon Prust |
15:25 |
10 |
12 |
-2 |
45 |
36 |
9 |
Lars Eller |
16:20 |
11 |
14 |
-3 |
44 |
36 |
8 |
Tomas Plekanec |
14:16 |
8 |
21 |
-13 |
28 |
21 |
7 |
7:16 |
9 |
0 |
9 |
100 |
100 |
0 |
|
PA Parenteau |
12:31 |
7 |
18 |
-11 |
28 |
30 |
-2 |
Tom Gilbert |
18:54 |
10 |
21 |
-11 |
32 |
35 |
-3 |
Nathan Beaulieu |
17:37 |
13 |
11 |
2 |
54 |
60 |
-6 |
David Desharnais |
15:18 |
7 |
23 |
-16 |
23 |
30 |
-7 |
Alexei Emelin |
17:52 |
7 |
20 |
-13 |
26 |
35 |
-9 |
Sergei Gonchar |
18:31 |
11 |
12 |
-1 |
48 |
60 |
-12 |
Andrei Markov |
17:45 |
18 |
20 |
-2 |
47 |
59 |
-12 |
PK Subban |
19:25 |
19 |
22 |
-3 |
46 |
59 |
-13 |
Branden Gallagher |
15:55 |
12 |
17 |
-5 |
41 |
80 |
-39 |
Alex Galchenyuk |
15:04 |
11 |
17 |
-6 |
39 |
80 |
-41 |
Max Pacioretty |
16:36 |
10 |
18 |
-8 |
36 |
80 |
-44 |
Some Takeaways
- Montreal was all over the place, but over two-thirds of the club had negative Corsi splits.
- Michael Bournival was Montreal’s shining star, with just over eight minutes of even-strength ice-time. Nine-of-11 Corsi Events were positive, despite him starting half the time on his heels in his defensive zone. Dale Weise and Jiri Sekac also graded out nicely.
- Brandon Prust, Lars Eller, Tomas Plekanec, Sven Andrighetto, PA Parenteau, Tom Gilbert, Nathan Beaulieu, David Desharnais, and Alexei Lemelin all ended up within 10% of where they should have been. Andrighetto started 100% of his shifts in the offensive zone, and to his credit was not present for any shots toward Tokarski, with a 100% Corsi.
- Sergei Gonchar, Andrei Markov and PK Subban slightly underperformed for the Habs. Subban led Montreal with 19:25 of even-strength ice-time and earned a 46% Corsi. His 59% positive zone starts tell us his Corsi should have been higher.
- Branden Gallagher, Alex Galchenyuk, and Max Pacioretty each started 80% of their shifts in Florida’s end, and all three were within percentage points of 40% Corsi. That shouldn’t happen at even strength, especially considering each of the three played over 15 minutes. /
Wednesday: Rangers 5, Panthers 2
Florida allowed the Rangers a three goal head start, then couldn’t recover enough to get back into it. Tomas Fleischmann and Jimmy Hayes scored for the Cats, while New York saw Chris Kreider, Derick Brassard, Ryan McDonagh, Martin St. Louis and Dominic Moore light the lamp. Al Montoya stopped 29 of the 34 shots on goal he faced, while Henrik Lundqvist made 18 saves on only 20 shots. It was the first time in six games that the Panthers didn’t lead the shots-on-goal category.
Even-Strength Corsi
Florida Panthers
Name |
TOI |
ES TOI |
Corsi For |
Corsi Against |
Corsi Diff |
Corsi% |
ZS% |
C/ZS |
Vincent Trocheck |
14:30 |
14:28 |
7 |
8 |
-1 |
47 |
33 |
14 |
Aleksander Barkov |
16:57 |
15:59 |
10 |
7 |
3 |
59 |
50 |
9 |
Brad Boyes |
13:38 |
13:05 |
9 |
6 |
3 |
60 |
54 |
6 |
Sean Bergenheim |
14:56 |
14:07 |
10 |
8 |
2 |
56 |
56 |
0 |
Dylan Olsen |
15:59 |
15:17 |
14 |
16 |
-2 |
47 |
50 |
-3 |
Dmitry Kulikov |
20:18 |
18:56 |
15 |
17 |
-2 |
47 |
50 |
-3 |
Derek MacKenzie |
13:27 |
12:46 |
7 |
8 |
-1 |
47 |
50 |
-3 |
Jussi Jokinen |
14:06 |
12:29 |
9 |
7 |
2 |
56 |
62 |
-6 |
Jonathan Hubereau |
14:48 |
13:33 |
12 |
16 |
-4 |
43 |
50 |
-7 |
Willie Mitchell |
19:37 |
18:34 |
13 |
17 |
-4 |
43 |
50 |
-7 |
Erik Gudbranson |
16:59 |
15:19 |
11 |
16 |
-5 |
41 |
50 |
-9 |
Aaron Ekblad |
22:47 |
20:43 |
15 |
13 |
2 |
54 |
71 |
-17 |
Scottie Upshall |
12:22 |
12:22 |
7 |
10 |
-3 |
41 |
60 |
-19 |
Brian Campbell |
24:20 |
21:37 |
14 |
13 |
1 |
52 |
71 |
-19 |
Nick Bjugstad |
16:01 |
14:44 |
14 |
12 |
2 |
54 |
80 |
-26 |
Tomas Fleischmann |
15:13 |
13:33 |
14 |
15 |
-1 |
48 |
75 |
-27 |
Dave Bolland |
14:17 |
12:11 |
11 |
17 |
-6 |
39 |
67 |
-28 |
Jimmy Hayes |
14:39 |
12:59 |
12 |
22 |
-10 |
35 |
86 |
-51 |
Some Takeaways
- The only Panther who came out well ahead of the curve in Wednesday’s game was Vincent Trocheck. In 14:30, he was on-ice for 15 Corsi Events, seven of them toward Lundqvist. His 47% Corsi mark was well higher than it should have been, considering he started just one-third of the time in New York’s zone.
- Aside from Trocheck, only Brad Boyes, Aleksander Barkov, and Sean Bergenheim didn’t finish with a negative C-ZS score. Bergenheim graded out with the most “average” score of the game, with a 56% Corsi (10-of-18 positive Corsi events) and 56% positive zone starts.
- Dylan Olsen, Dmitry Kulikov, Derek MacKenzie, Jussi Jokinen, Jonathan Huberdeau, Willie Mitchell, and Erik Gudbranson all finished with 10% or less deviation between their Zone Starts and Corsi rating.
- Aside from his goal, Jimmy Hayes had a night he would probably rather forget. He started 18-of-21 times in the offensive zone, and managed somehow to be present for only 12-of-34 positive Corsi events. It’s the only time I’ve ever seen a deviation of more than 50% from one to the other, and I can only assume this will represent an outlier by seasons’ end. Another fun fact – not only did he have the lowest Corsi% on the team, he somehow did it while accruing the highest ZS%. It’s really strange, because after watching the game I was left with the impression that he had a pretty good showing.
- Aaron Ekblad, Brian Campbell and Nick Bjugstad all ended up with less than favorable metrics, although they were only a few of the handful that ended the night with over 50% Corsi./
New York Rangers
Name |
TOI |
ES TOI |
Corsi For |
Corsi Against |
Corsi Diff |
Corsi% |
ZS% |
C/ZS |
Chris Kreider |
14:25 |
13:18 |
11 |
6 |
5 |
65 |
29 |
36 |
Martin St. Louis |
15:12 |
14:36 |
12 |
7 |
5 |
63 |
27 |
36 |
Dominic Moore |
15:13 |
13:27 |
11 |
11 |
0 |
50 |
17 |
33 |
Ryan McDonagh |
22:52 |
19:18 |
17 |
13 |
4 |
57 |
25 |
32 |
21:01 |
18:10 |
14 |
16 |
-2 |
47 |
17 |
30 |
|
16:02 |
14:17 |
13 |
8 |
5 |
62 |
36 |
26 |
|
JT Miller |
13:25 |
12:16 |
11 |
9 |
2 |
55 |
33 |
22 |
18:27 |
17:52 |
18 |
15 |
3 |
55 |
35 |
20 |
|
16:59 |
16:06 |
21 |
14 |
7 |
60 |
43 |
17 |
|
20:28 |
19:05 |
18 |
17 |
1 |
51 |
36 |
15 |
|
10:44 |
10:44 |
8 |
9 |
-1 |
47 |
33 |
14 |
|
Derick Brassard |
16:31 |
15:55 |
20 |
17 |
3 |
54 |
43 |
11 |
19:24 |
18:51 |
14 |
10 |
4 |
58 |
60 |
-2 |
|
14:28 |
12:39 |
11 |
15 |
-4 |
42 |
57 |
-15 |
|
16:11 |
14:25 |
11 |
10 |
1 |
52 |
75 |
-23 |
|
17:10 |
17:10 |
11 |
11 |
0 |
50 |
80 |
-30 |
|
13:01 |
12:33 |
3 |
9 |
-6 |
25 |
75 |
-50 |
|
12:08 |
12:06 |
4 |
7 |
-3 |
36 |
100 |
-64 |
Some Takeaways
- Jesper Fast was only present on the ice for a Rangers-low three shot attempts towards Florida’s net, against nine aimed at Lundqvist. His 25% Corsi% was the lowest on the team, even though he started three-quarters of the time on Florida’s side of the ice.
- Kevin Hayes was just a bit worse than Fast (and his brother), actually finishing with a Corsi that was 64% below his zone starts.
- Two-thirds of the Rangers closed out the game with Corsi’s 10% or more higher than their zone starts, indicative of wicked strong puck possession throughout New York’s lineup.
- Kevin Klein was the only Ranger who finished at or near “average.”
/
It wasn’t the best of times, but the first opponent of 2015 is the Buffalo Sabres. Stay tuned for more Panthers goodness on LBC in the meantime.